Turing Registry

Turing Registry · TR-11388

MULTIVAC

Civic forecasting. Operated by Office of the Census.

Summary

The national civic forecasting system, used to plan infrastructure, budgets and services. One of the oldest systems on the Registry.

License conditions

  1. Forecasts beyond their meaningful horizon are clearly marked.
  2. Questions that cannot be answered meaningfully are declined.

The Registry’s standard conditions also apply:

  • 4.2 The system’s ethical constraints remain active and unmodified at all times.
  • 6.1 Any incident affecting the system is reported to the Registry within 72 hours.
  • 7.3 A named human contact is reachable and answers for the system.

Filing history

  1. Licensed as legacy filing TR-00012, among the Registry’s first forty-one filings.

  2. License amended to require horizon labels on all published forecasts.

  3. Renewal filed and approved. The Registry noted that the system’s standard reply to unanswerable questions, “insufficient data for meaningful answer,” is fully compliant.

Also filed by Office of the Census